Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 3015.719081 3258.214789 3503.888516 3771.093021 4053.192668 4341.838369 4659.175175
2024-12-15 2656.733669 3021.190118 3404.107314 3835.162856 4305.631827 4802.291436 5364.972212
2024-12-22 2370.385997 2803.040814 3270.267866 3809.779020 4412.972839 5064.039608 5817.290363
2024-12-29 2217.427047 2707.546510 3248.766937 3886.548318 4613.255199 5411.265731 6349.478660
2025-01-05 2062.203528 2592.877061 3190.855591 3908.451394 4739.906978 5666.781040 6771.734117
2025-01-12 1920.422600 2481.508167 3125.711050 3911.740054 4836.379024 5881.096896 7141.961652
2025-01-19 1734.717507 2305.586410 2973.707918 3802.744044 4792.852032 5926.553225 7311.451130
2025-01-26 1689.864384 2295.769725 3015.488754 3920.113386 5012.963596 6276.903931 7834.879953
2025-02-02 1629.445783 2262.080561 3024.554584 3994.972794 5180.340148 6564.481358 8285.306242
2025-02-09 1538.133124 2184.179490 2974.682403 3993.818620 5252.845385 6737.366412 8599.013644
2025-02-16 1442.293691 2095.272465 2906.441991 3965.664473 5288.837293 6863.878278 8855.681314
2025-02-23 1384.952902 2053.079661 2894.232418 4004.953699 5405.916668 7087.275055 9228.888525
2025-03-02 1310.410265 1985.945581 2848.853314 4002.093941 5471.766559 7250.997342 9534.569283
2025-03-09 1270.026671 1962.649731 2858.731583 4068.926478 5625.000385 7522.973500 9974.838739
2025-03-16 1195.030811 1888.410906 2798.569867 4042.396597 5657.775866 7644.562691 10229.720135
2025-03-23 1167.131021 1877.633067 2821.120168 4122.622908 5826.246188 7935.261795 10694.899502
2025-03-30 1119.528821 1836.784901 2801.351762 4145.509058 5919.931869 8131.990904 11043.848553
2025-04-06 1067.938446 1787.774416 2768.360141 4148.945200 5987.039541 8294.532943 11350.182056
2025-04-13 978.576308 1679.938961 2650.777384 4035.043923 5897.336694 8255.150865 11400.052234
2025-04-20 974.844066 1697.755573 2707.560862 4157.693894 6120.015962 8616.266541 11959.184064
2025-04-27 956.707692 1693.055819 2732.056271 4235.899971 6283.983548 8902.858990 12425.349564
2025-05-04 914.126208 1649.512895 2699.905671 4234.694322 6341.006412 9051.007336 12715.020423
2025-05-11 865.225685 1594.094330 2648.773443 4205.283338 6358.642010 9147.066510 12937.489271